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Projections / NFL player props

NFL Player Props & Projections

Week 9: 275 player prop lines across 13 games, with the consensus line of U.S. sportsbooks beside our projection. Projections, not picks.

CIN atATL · 9:30 AM ET

Joe BurrowCIN · at ATL · Sun 9:30 AM ET
Pass Yds
285.7
276.5
+9.2
Actual results
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Michael Penix Jr.ATL · vs CIN · Sun 9:30 AM ET
Pass Yds
225.9
219.5
+6.4
Actual results
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Brian Robinson Jr.ATL · vs CIN · Sun 9:30 AM ET
Rush Yds
31.5
25.5
+6.0
Actual results
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Samaje PerineCIN · at ATL · Sun 9:30 AM ET
Rush Yds
22.3
17.5
+4.8
Actual results
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Ja'Marr ChaseCIN · at ATL · Sun 9:30 AM ET
7.4
6.5
+0.9
Actual results
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DEN atCAR · 1:00 PM ET

Bo NixDEN · at CAR · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Pass Yds
226.5
210.5
+16.0
Actual results
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Jalen CokerCAR · vs DEN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
4.1
4.5
−0.4
Actual results
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Evan EngramDEN · at CAR · Sun 1:00 PM ET
2.1
1.5
+0.6
Actual results
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CLE atNO · 1:00 PM ET

Chris OlaveNO · vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Rec
6.3
5.5
+0.8
Actual results
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DAL atIND · 1:00 PM ET

Jonathan TaylorIND · vs DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
80.6
61.5
+19.1
Actual results
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CeeDee LambDAL · at IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET
6.7
6.5
+0.2
Actual results
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George PickensDAL · at IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Rec
4.7
4.5
+0.2
Actual results
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DET atMIA · 1:00 PM ET

Jared GoffDET · at MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Pass Yds
276.8
261.5
+15.3
Actual results
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Malik WillisMIA · vs DET · Sun 1:00 PM ET
213.1
207.5
+5.6
Actual results
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Jahmyr GibbsDET · at MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ET
88.5
98.5
−10.0
Actual results
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Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · at MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ET
7.5
6.5
+0.9
Actual results
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Malik WashingtonMIA · vs DET · Sun 1:00 PM ET
4.3
4.5
−0.2
Actual results
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NYJ atKC · 1:00 PM ET

Patrick MahomesKC · vs NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Pass Yds
276.8
244.5
+32.3
Actual results
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Kenneth Walker IIIKC · vs NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ET
92.3
90.5
+1.8
Actual results
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Breece HallNYJ · at KC · Sun 1:00 PM ET
46.9
40.5
+6.4
Actual results
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LA atWAS · 1:00 PM ET

Matthew StaffordLA · at WAS · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Pass Yds
221.6
249.5
−27.9
Actual results
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Kyren WilliamsLA · at WAS · Sun 1:00 PM ET
70.9
59.5
+11.4
Actual results
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Blake CorumLA · at WAS · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Rush Yds
53.5
49.5
+4.0
Actual results
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Rachaad WhiteWAS · vs LA · Sun 1:00 PM ET
33.4
40.5
−7.1
Actual results
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NYG atPHI · 1:00 PM ET

Saquon BarkleyPHI · vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Rush Yds
47.2
58.5
−11.3
Actual results
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Malik NabersNYG · at PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ET
6.2
5.5
+0.7
Actual results
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Isaiah LikelyNYG · at PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ET
4.0
4.5
−0.5
Actual results
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HOU atLAC · 4:05 PM ET

C.J. StroudHOU · at LAC · Sun 4:05 PM ET
Pass Yds
226.7
249.5
−22.8
Actual results
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Omarion HamptonLAC · vs HOU · Sun 4:05 PM ET
39.7
36.5
+3.2
Actual results
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Kimani VidalLAC · vs HOU · Sun 4:05 PM ET
30.4
18.5
+11.9
Actual results
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Quentin JohnstonLAC · vs HOU · Sun 4:05 PM ET
3.0
2.5
+0.5
Actual results
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Marvin Harrison Jr.HOU · at LAC · Sun 4:05 PM ET
1.8
2.5
−0.7
Actual results
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GB atNE · 4:25 PM ET

Rhamondre StevensonNE · vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ET
53.1
54.5
−1.4
Actual results
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Drake MayeNE · vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ET
Rush Yds
33.7
25.5
+8.2
Actual results
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Matthew GoldenGB · at NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET
4.5
5.5
−1.1
Actual results
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LV atSF · 4:25 PM ET

Kirk CousinsLV · at SF · Sun 4:25 PM ET
Pass Yds
209.2
247.5
−38.3
Actual results
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Brock BowersLV · at SF · Sun 4:25 PM ET
6.0
6.5
−0.6
Actual results
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Jordan WatkinsSF · vs LV · Sun 4:25 PM ET
1.9
1.5
+0.3
Actual results
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TB atCHI · 8:20 PM ET

Caleb WilliamsCHI · vs TB · Sun 8:20 PM ET
245.7
245.5
+0.2
Actual results
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Baker MayfieldTB · at CHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET
Pass Yds
121.8
213.5
−91.7
Actual results
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This is a projection, not a pick. The NFL forward test measures projections; no bet is placed and nothing here is in the pick record.

Showing the 10 most-quoted players of each market, with their other markets. Pick a market above for every line.

Line: the consensus (median) of the U.S. sportsbooks quoting the prop, two or more books; games that have started are left out. Projections, not picks.

How to read these NFL player props

A player prop is a bet on one player’s stat in one game, such as receiving yards, set at a line by the sportsbooks. Beside each line we show StatIQ’s projection for the same stat and the player’s average over his last five games, so you can see where the number came from. Football is noisy; the projection is an estimate with real variance, not a prediction.

We publish projections, not picks, and we show no win rate on this page. The NFL projections are measured in a public forward test, with every result logged, wins and losses included, on the NFL record. For how the research fits together, read NFL player prop research.