MLB prop trends

19 players · 74 props · MLB props on the current board · games on Oct 16 · each player's last 5 and last 10 games before this one, dated, postseason included, as on the player page · threshold = the prop's line

PropOrder19 of 19 players

Historical counts at each prop’s line, not a forecast. A run over five or ten games is mostly what chance looks like at that sample size.

Brayan RocchioMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 1.0 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.5
Our chance: 53% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Chandler SimpsonMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 1.1 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.6
Our chance: 67% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Chase DeLauterMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.9 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.5
Our chance: 63% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Jo AdellMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 1.0 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.5
Our chance: 60% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Jonathan ArandaMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.8 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.3
Our chance: 59% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Jonny DelucaMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.9 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.4
Our chance: 58% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Jose RamirezMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.9 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.4
Our chance: 63% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Junior CamineroMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.9 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.4
Our chance: 64% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Liam HicksMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.8 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.3
Our chance: 59% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Nathaniel LoweMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Under 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.6 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.1
Our chance: 44% (under 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Nick MartinezMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 12.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 16.4 Outs
Gap (projection − line): +4.0
Our chance: 48% (over 12.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Patrick BaileyMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Under 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.6 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.1
Our chance: 49% (under 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Petey HalpinMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Under 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.5 Hits
Gap (projection − line): 0.0
Our chance: 50% (under 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Richie PalaciosMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.7 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.2
Our chance: 51% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Steven KwanMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 1.2 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.7
Our chance: 66% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Taylor WallsMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.8 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.3
Our chance: 47% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Travis BazzanaMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.9 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.4
Our chance: 55% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Victor Mesa Jr.MLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.9 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.4
Our chance: 58% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

Yandy DiazMLB · Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET

–Last 10

–Last 5

Over 0.5Counted at this line

Game by gameNot yet graded

Loading the dated games.

vs this opponent: Loading the dated games
Our projection: 0.9 Hits
Gap (projection − line): +0.4
Our chance: 67% (over 0.5), a model estimate, not a frequency
Last 10 rate − our chance: –

landed on the prop’s side · did not · push (exactly on a whole-number line)

What these numbers mean

Game by game is the player’s last ten actual values for the chosen stat, oldest on the left, each drawn by how it landed against that prop’s line and side.
Last 5 and Last 10 count those games. On a half line they read “7/10”; on a whole-number line they read wins-pushes-losses (“6-2-2”), because a push is neither a hit nor a miss.
Model: our estimate for the next game: our projection, the gap to the line and our chance sit below the counts, apart from them. Our projection already weighs recent form, so a run is not a second opinion.