NFL Passing Yards Props & Projections

How to read these NFL player props

A player prop is a bet on one player’s stat in one game, such as receiving yards, set at a line by the sportsbooks. Beside each line we show StatIQ’s projection for the same stat and the player’s average over his last five games, so you can see where the number came from. Football is noisy; the projection is an estimate with real variance, not a prediction.

We publish projections, not picks, and we show no win rate on this page. The NFL projections are measured in a public forward test, with every result logged, wins and losses included, on the NFL record. For how the research fits together, read NFL player prop research.