Kyren Williams rushing yards projection vs the line
LA · RB · #23
Next game at WAS · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
More
Projections & lines
Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 3 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 70.9 | 59.5 | +11.4 |
| Receiving Yards | 28.0 | 19.5 | +8.5 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 100.6 | 83.5 | +17.1 |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 2.5 | +0.8 |
Recent rushing yards
70.0Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 59.5 in 6 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | RUSH YDS | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026vs LAC | 56 | 3 | 59 | 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026at LV | 99 | 22 | 121 | 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs ARI | 50 | 17 | 67 | 3 |
| Oct 12, 2026vs BUF | 49 | 27 | 76 | 6 |
| Oct 4, 2026at PHI | 80 | 67 | 147 | 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026at DEN | 88 | 70 | 158 | 6 |
| Sep 21, 2026vs NYG | 85 | 12 | 97 | 2 |
| Sep 10, 2026vs SF | 41 | 24 | 65 | 3 |
| Jan 4, 2026vs ARI | 60 | 21 | 81 | 3 |
| Dec 29, 2025at ATL | 92 | 38 | 130 | 3 |
| Average · last 10 games | 70 | 30.1 | 100.1 | 3.9 |
Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections
26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
90 of 157 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Kyren Williams has averaged 66.8 yards over his last 5 games and 68.5 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Kyren Williams’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+11.4 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Kyren Williams’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- WAS
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- WAS allowed the 3rd-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 115.5 yards/game · 3rd of 32
Compare prices
Rushing Yards · line 59.5.
3 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −117 · Under −115.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Kyren Williams, answered here:
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