Kimani Vidal Projections

LAC · RB · #28

Next game at KC · Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET

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Projections & lines

Rush + Rec Yards · Week 6

at KC · Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET

Projection only

40.4Projection · rush + rec yards

27.5Line · consensus

+12.9Gap

Average · last 5 games 22.4

Average miss 27.7 yards · NFL rush + rec yards model · 45 graded projections · Updated Oct 16

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Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Recent rush + rec yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

42.2Average rush + rec yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 27.5 in 5 of 10 · past results, not odds

137

Nov 30

104

Dec 8

Dec 14

Dec 21

Jan 4

Sep 13

Sep 20

Sep 27

Oct 4

Oct 11

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±27.7 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±27.7 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Oct 11 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Full game log

Kimani Vidal rush + rec yards by game
Date	Opponent	RUSH+REC
Oct 11	vs DEN	56
Oct 4	@ SEA	36
Sep 27	@ BUF	20
Sep 20	vs LV	0
Sep 13	vs ARI	0
Jan 4	@ DEN · 2025	10
Dec 21	@ DAL · 2025	11
Dec 14	@ KC · 2025	48
Dec 8	vs PHI · 2025	104
Nov 30	vs LV · 2025	137

Kimani Vidal’s last 5 games on one page

This matchup

The rest of KC vs LAC

Opponent: KC
Kickoff: Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense: KC allowed the 26th-most scrimmage yards to RBs in 2025 110.8 yards/game · 26th of 32
Against KC: 48 yards a game 1 previous meeting · small sample

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Rush + Rec Yards · Kimani Vidal

Rush + Rec Yards · line 27.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

Book	Over 27.5	Under 27.5
FanDuelOct 16, 12:11 PM ET	−118Best	−110Best
Hard Rock BetOct 16, 12:11 PM ET	−120	−110Best
Hardrockbet FlOct 16, 12:10 PM ET	−120	−110Best

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Prices as of Oct 16, 12:11 PM ET.

Research

Ask Explorer about Kimani Vidal

Questions to ask Explorer about Kimani Vidal, answered here:

Model accuracy

NFL rush + rec yards model · 45 graded projections

27.7 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

StatIQ projects Kimani Vidal for 40.4 rush + rec yards against KC in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, Kimani Vidal has averaged 22.4 yards over his last 5 games, 22.4 yards per game this season (2026), and 48 yards across 1 game against KC; the model is not recomputed from those averages.

The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Oct 11, 2026): 24.4 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for Kimani Vidal’s rush + rec yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (+12.9 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our rush + rec yards projection and the actual result, over 45 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: Kimani Vidal’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

Common questions

What is StatIQ's rush + rec yards projection for Kimani Vidal vs KC?

StatIQ projects Kimani Vidal for 40.4 yards rush + rec yards against KC in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Kimani Vidal performed in rush + rec yards recently?

Kimani Vidal has averaged 22.4 yards over his last 5 games, 22.4 yards per game this season (2026), and 48 yards across 1 game against KC. That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.

How many rush + rec yards did Kimani Vidal have in his last game?

Kimani Vidal had 56 yards rush + rec yards in his most recent game vs DEN. The full game log on the page has the rest.

How accurate are StatIQ's rush + rec yards projections?

Across 45 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 27.7 yards of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.

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