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Rachaad White rushing yards projection vs the line

WAS · RB · #1

Next game vs LA · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

33.4StatIQ projection · rushing yards
40.5Line · consensus
−7.1Gap
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Projections & lines

Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6

Compare prices · 5 books quoted

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Rushing Yards33.440.5−7.1
Receiving Yards15.016.5−1.5
Rush + Rec Yards47.660.5−12.9
Receptions2.32.5−0.2

Recent rushing yards

29.8Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 40.5 in 3 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±26.0 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±26.0 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
GameRUSH YDSREC YDSRUSH+RECREC
Nov 1, 2026vs PHI555602
Oct 19, 2026at SF2730574
Oct 11, 2026vs NYG182201
Sep 27, 2026vs SEA356411
Sep 20, 2026at DAL4340836
Sep 13, 2026at PHI225272
Jan 3, 2026vs CAR2318412
Dec 28, 2025at MIA107172
Dec 21, 2025at CAR4515602
Dec 11, 2025vs ATL206261
Average · last 10 games29.813.443.22.3

Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions

Rachaad White’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections

26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

90 of 157 within 25 yards

0 yards25200 yards
90 of 157 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Rachaad White has averaged 35.6 yards over his last 5 games and 33.3 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection
StatIQ’s single number for Rachaad White’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line
The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap
Projection minus the line (−7.1 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss
The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual
Rachaad White’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
Opponent
LA
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Availability
Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense
LA allowed the 22nd-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 88.6 yards/game · 22nd of 32

Compare prices

Rushing Yards · line 40.5.

5 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −115.

Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.

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