George Pickens receiving yards projection vs the line

DAL · WR · #3

Next game at IND · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

72.2StatIQ projection · receiving yards

62.5Line · consensus

+9.7Gap

Compare

Save this research

Free account. You come back to this page.

Follows are saved on this device.

Projections & lines

3 markets

Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6

Compare prices · 1 book quoted

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Receiving Yards	72.2	62.5	+9.7
Rush + Rec Yards	69.9	No line yet	–
Receptions	4.7	4.5	+0.2

Recent receiving yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

62.0Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 62.5 in 5 of 10 · past results, not odds

Dec 25

Jan 4

Sep 13

Sep 20

Sep 27

Oct 4

130

Oct 8

Oct 18

Oct 26

Nov 1

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±21.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±21.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
Game	REC YDS	RUSH+REC	REC
Nov 1, 2026vs ARI	48	48	2
Oct 26, 2026at PHI	57	57	4
Oct 18, 2026at GB	73	73	6
Oct 8, 2026vs TB	130	130	9
Oct 4, 2026at HOU	75	75	2
Sep 27, 2026vs BAL	82	82	7
Sep 20, 2026vs WSH	40	40	6
Sep 13, 2026at NYG	28	28	3
Jan 4, 2026at NYG	9	9	1
Dec 25, 2025at WSH	78	78	4
Average · last 10 games	62	62	4.4

RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet

Stats and game log: receptions

George Pickens’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections

21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

326 of 481 within 25 yards

326 of 481 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, George Pickens has averaged 76.6 yards over his last 5 games and 66.6 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for George Pickens’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (+9.7 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: George Pickens’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

This matchup

The rest of DAL vs IND

Opponent: IND
Kickoff: Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense: IND allowed the 3rd-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 168.3 yards/game · 3rd of 32

Compare prices

Receiving Yards · George Pickens

Receiving Yards · line 62.5.

1 book has a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −120 · Under −114.

Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.

Research

Ask Explorer about George Pickens

Questions to ask Explorer about George Pickens, answered here:

Your 7-day Founders trial starts as soon as your account is confirmed. No card.

Every tool, every sport, and every pre-tip pick we post when qualifying opportunities exist. Nothing is charged when it ends. Your account goes back to the free tier.

Create a free account