Brian Robinson Jr. rushing yards projection vs the line
ATL · RB · #15
Next game Opponent: CIN · neutral site · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET
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Projections & lines
Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 6 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 31.5 | 25.5 | +6.0 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 32.3 | No line yet | – |
Recent rushing yards
28.3Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 25.5 in 4 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Oct 18 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | RUSH YDS | RUSH+REC |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026vs CHI | 1 | 10 |
| Oct 11, 2026vs BAL | 16 | 16 |
| Oct 5, 2026at NO | 62 | 67 |
| Sep 24, 2026at GB | 50 | 50 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs CAR | 51 | 67 |
| Sep 13, 2026at PIT | 31 | 31 |
| Jan 3, 2026vs SEA | 9 | 9 |
| Dec 28, 2025vs CHI | 22 | 28 |
| Dec 22, 2025at IND | 20 | 20 |
| Dec 14, 2025vs TEN | 21 | 21 |
| Average · last 10 games | 28.3 | 31.9 |
RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections
26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
90 of 157 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Brian Robinson Jr. has averaged 36 yards over his last 5 games and 35.2 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Brian Robinson Jr.’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+6.0 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Brian Robinson Jr.’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- CIN · neutral site
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- CIN allowed the 1st-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 119.2 yards/game · 1st of 32
Compare prices
Rushing Yards · line 25.5.
6 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −120.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Brian Robinson Jr., answered here:
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