Rhamondre Stevenson rushing yards projection vs the line

NE · RB · #38

Next game vs GB · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

53.1StatIQ projection · rushing yards

54.5Line · consensus

−1.4Gap

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Projections & lines

4 markets

Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6

Compare prices · 4 books quoted

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Rushing Yards	53.1	54.5	−1.4
Receiving Yards	21.4	23.5	−2.1
Rush + Rec Yards	77.9	82.5	−4.6
Receptions	2.9	3.5	−0.6

Recent rushing yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

54.5Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 54.5 in 3 of 10 · past results, not odds

Dec 28

131

Jan 4

Sep 9

Sep 20

Sep 27

Oct 4

Oct 11

Oct 18

Oct 22

Nov 1

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±26.0 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±26.0 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
Game	RUSH YDS	REC YDS	RUSH+REC	REC
Nov 1, 2026at MIA	82	8	90	3
Oct 22, 2026at CHI	22	93	115	5
Oct 18, 2026vs NYJ	36	0	36	0
Oct 11, 2026vs LV	64	21	85	3
Oct 4, 2026at BUF	47	27	74	3
Sep 27, 2026at JAX	22	16	38	3
Sep 20, 2026vs PIT	43	3	46	1
Sep 9, 2026at SEA	51	44	95	5
Jan 4, 2026vs MIA	131	22	153	2
Dec 28, 2025at NYJ	47	55	102	5
Average · last 10 games	54.5	28.9	83.4	3

Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions

Rhamondre Stevenson’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections

26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

90 of 157 within 25 yards

90 of 157 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Rhamondre Stevenson has averaged 50.2 yards over his last 5 games and 45.9 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (−1.4 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: Rhamondre Stevenson’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

This matchup

The rest of GB vs NE

Opponent: GB
Kickoff: Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense: GB allowed the 12th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 100.5 yards/game · 12th of 32

Compare prices

Rushing Yards · Rhamondre Stevenson

Rushing Yards · line 54.5.

4 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −114.

Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.

Research

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