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Blake Corum rushing yards projection vs the line

LA · RB · #24

Next game at WAS · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

53.5StatIQ projection · rushing yards
49.5Line · consensus
+4.0Gap
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Projections & lines

Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6

Compare prices · 6 books quoted

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Rushing Yards53.549.5+4.0
Receiving Yards11.2No line yet–
Rush + Rec Yards61.6No line yet–
Receptions1.3No line yet–

Recent rushing yards

46.6Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 49.5 in 5 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±26.0 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±26.0 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
GameRUSH YDSREC YDSRUSH+RECREC
Nov 1, 2026vs LAC730730
Oct 25, 2026at LV9381011
Oct 18, 2026vs ARI4218602
Oct 12, 2026vs BUF1953723
Oct 4, 2026at PHI147211
Sep 27, 2026at DEN150152
Sep 21, 2026vs NYG7913921
Sep 10, 2026vs SF540540
Jan 4, 2026vs ARI5910691
Dec 29, 2025at ATL180180
Average · last 10 games46.610.957.51.1

REC YDS, RUSH+REC, REC: Early projection · no line posted yet

Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions

Blake Corum’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections

26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

90 of 157 within 25 yards

0 yards25200 yards
90 of 157 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Blake Corum has averaged 48.2 yards over his last 5 games and 48.6 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection
StatIQ’s single number for Blake Corum’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line
The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap
Projection minus the line (+4.0 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss
The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual
Blake Corum’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
Opponent
WAS
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Availability
Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense
WAS allowed the 3rd-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 115.5 yards/game · 3rd of 32

Compare prices

Rushing Yards · line 49.5.

6 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −117 · Under −114.

Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.

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