Kirk Cousins passing yards projection vs the line

LV · QB · #8

Next game at SF · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET

209.2StatIQ projection · passing yards

247.5Line · consensus

−38.3Gap

Compare

Save this research

Free account. You come back to this page.

Follows are saved on this device.

Projections & lines

2 markets

Average miss 57.8 yards · NFL passing-yard model · 92 graded projections · Updated Nov 6

Compare prices · 3 books quoted

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Passing Yards	209.2	247.5	−38.3
Passing Touchdowns	1.7	1.5	+0.2

Recent passing yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

243.0Average passing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 247.5 in 5 of 10 · past results, not odds

126

Dec 29

180

Jan 4

160

Sep 13

253

Sep 20

248

Sep 27

365

Oct 4

243

Oct 11

313

Oct 18

295

Oct 25

247

Nov 1

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±57.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±57.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
Game	PASS YDS	PASS TD
Nov 1, 2026at NYJ	247	3
Oct 25, 2026vs LAR	295	2
Oct 18, 2026vs BUF	313	2
Oct 11, 2026at NE	243	1
Oct 4, 2026vs KC	365	2
Sep 27, 2026at NO	248	3
Sep 20, 2026at LAC	253	3
Sep 13, 2026vs MIA	160	3
Jan 4, 2026vs NO	180	1
Dec 29, 2025vs LAR	126	1
Average · last 10 games	243	2.1

Kirk Cousins’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · NFL passing-yard model · 92 graded projections

57.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

41 of 92 within 45 yards

41 of 92 landed within 45 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Kirk Cousins has averaged 292.6 yards over his last 5 games and 265.5 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for Kirk Cousins’s passing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (−38.3 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our passing yards projection and the actual result, over 92 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: Kirk Cousins’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

This matchup

The rest of LV vs SF

Opponent: SF
Kickoff: Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense: SF allowed the 10th-most passing yards to QBs in 2025 241.8 yards/game · 10th of 32

Compare prices

Passing Yards · Kirk Cousins

Passing Yards · line 247.5.

3 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −113.

Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.

Research

Ask Explorer about Kirk Cousins

Questions to ask Explorer about Kirk Cousins, answered here:

Your 7-day Founders trial starts as soon as your account is confirmed. No card.

Every tool, every sport, and every pre-tip pick we post when qualifying opportunities exist. Nothing is charged when it ends. Your account goes back to the free tier.

Create a free account