Demarcus Robinson receiving yards projection vs the line
SF · WR · #11
Next game vs LV · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
More
Projections & lines
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 3 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 32.7 | 31.5 | +1.2 |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 2.5 | −0.3 |
Recent receiving yards
25.2Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 31.5 in 4 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Sep 20 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026vs MIA | 34 | 3 |
| Sep 10, 2026vs LAR | 50 | 2 |
| Jan 3, 2026vs SEA | 24 | 3 |
| Dec 28, 2025vs CHI | 30 | 2 |
| Dec 22, 2025at IND | 23 | 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025vs TEN | 36 | 2 |
| Nov 30, 2025at CLE | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 24, 2025vs CAR | 8 | 1 |
| Nov 16, 2025at ARI | 13 | 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025vs LAR | 34 | 3 |
| Average · last 10 games | 25.2 | 1.9 |
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
326 of 481 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Demarcus Robinson has averaged 32.2 yards over his last 5 games and 42 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Demarcus Robinson’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+1.2 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Demarcus Robinson’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- LV
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- LV allowed the 11th-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 147.2 yards/game · 11th of 32
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 31.5.
3 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −115.
Prices as of Nov 6, 3:13 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Demarcus Robinson, answered here:
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