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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 53.0 | No line yet | – |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 54.9 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 3.6 | No line yet | – |
Recent receiving yards
64.8Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Oct 19
| Game | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026vs WSH | 94 | 94 | 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026at SEA | 113 | 113 | 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026vs DEN | 76 | 76 | 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026vs ARI | 34 | 34 | 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs MIA | 54 | 54 | 3 |
| Sep 10, 2026vs LAR | 49 | 49 | 6 |
| Jan 3, 2026vs CAR | 34 | 34 | 2 |
| Dec 28, 2025at MIA | 31 | 31 | 3 |
| Dec 21, 2025at CAR | 31 | 31 | 5 |
| Dec 11, 2025vs ATL | 132 | 132 | 6 |
| Average · last 10 games | 64.8 | 64.8 | 4.3 |
RUSH+REC, REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Mike Evans has averaged 74.2 yards over his last 5 games and 70 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Mike Evans’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Mike Evans’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- LV
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- LV allowed the 11th-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 147.2 yards/game · 11th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Mike Evans, answered here:
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