Kyle Juszczyk receiving yards projection vs the line

SF · FB · #44

Next game vs LV · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET

14.7StatIQ projection · receiving yards

9.5Line · consensus

+5.2Gap

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Projections & lines

2 markets

Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6

Compare prices · 4 books quoted

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Receiving Yards	14.7	9.5	+5.2
Receptions	1.8	1.5	+0.3

Recent receiving yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

10.2Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 9.5 in 5 of 10 · past results, not odds

Dec 14

Dec 22

Dec 28

Jan 3

Sep 10

Sep 20

Sep 27

Oct 4

Oct 19

Oct 25

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±21.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±21.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Oct 25 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
Game	REC YDS	REC
Oct 25, 2026at ATL	11	3
Oct 19, 2026vs WSH	10	1
Oct 4, 2026vs DEN	28	2
Sep 27, 2026vs ARI	0	0
Sep 20, 2026vs MIA	27	2
Sep 10, 2026vs LAR	0	0
Jan 3, 2026vs SEA	5	1
Dec 28, 2025vs CHI	14	2
Dec 22, 2025at IND	0	0
Dec 14, 2025vs TEN	7	1
Average · last 10 games	10.2	1.2

Stats and game log: receptions

Kyle Juszczyk’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections

21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

326 of 481 within 25 yards

326 of 481 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Kyle Juszczyk has averaged 15.2 yards over his last 5 games and 12.7 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for Kyle Juszczyk’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (+5.2 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: Kyle Juszczyk’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

This matchup

The rest of LV vs SF

Opponent: LV
Kickoff: Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet

Compare prices

Receiving Yards · Kyle Juszczyk

Receiving Yards · line 9.5.

4 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −120 · Under −112.

Prices as of Nov 6, 3:13 AM ET.

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