Rashee Rice receiving yards projection vs the line
KC · WR · #4
Next game vs NYJ · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
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Projections & lines
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 2 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 62.2 | 59.5 | +2.7 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 64.5 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 5.2 | 5.5 | −0.3 |
Recent receiving yards
59.9Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 59.5 in 4 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at DEN | 53 | 53 | 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026at LV | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27, 2026at MIA | 88 | 88 | 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs IND | 83 | 83 | 4 |
| Sep 14, 2026vs DEN | 19 | 19 | 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025vs LAC | 51 | 51 | 7 |
| Dec 7, 2025vs HOU | 34 | 34 | 4 |
| Nov 27, 2025at DAL | 92 | 94 | 8 |
| Nov 23, 2025vs IND | 141 | 141 | 8 |
| Nov 16, 2025at DEN | 38 | 38 | 6 |
| Average · last 10 games | 59.9 | 60.1 | 5.3 |
RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
326 of 481 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Rashee Rice has averaged 48.6 yards over his last 5 games and 48.6 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Nov 1, 2026): 58.8 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Rashee Rice’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+2.7 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Rashee Rice’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- NYJ
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- NYJ allowed the 18th-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 136.1 yards/game · 18th of 32
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 59.5.
2 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −113 · Under −117.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Rashee Rice, answered here:
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