Emmett Johnson receiving yards projection vs the line
KC · RB · #10
Next game vs NYJ · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
More
Projections & lines
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 6 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 20.8 | 14.5 | +6.3 |
| Receptions | 2.1 | 1.5 | +0.6 |
Recent receiving yards
33.9Average receiving yards, last 7 (7 games)Over 14.5 in 5 of 7 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at DEN | 128 | 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026at SEA | 17 | 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs LAC | 18 | 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026at LV | 10 | 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026at MIA | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs IND | 20 | 2 |
| Sep 14, 2026vs DEN | 44 | 2 |
| Average · last 7 games | 33.9 | 2 |
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
326 of 481 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Emmett Johnson has averaged 34.6 yards over his last 5 games and 33.9 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Emmett Johnson’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+6.3 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Emmett Johnson’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- NYJ
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- NYJ allowed the 10th-most receiving yards to RBs in 2025 34.5 yards/game · 10th of 32
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 14.5.
6 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −115.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Emmett Johnson, answered here:
Your 7-day Founders trial starts as soon as your account is confirmed. No card.
Every tool, every sport, and every pre-tip pick we post when qualifying opportunities exist. Nothing is charged when it ends. Your account goes back to the free tier.