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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Wed 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Wed, Nov 4, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush + Rec Yards | 30.8 | No line yet | – |
| Rushing Yards | 18.7 | No line yet | – |
Recent rush + rec yards
12.1Average rush + rec yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 1
| Game | RUSH+REC | RUSH YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026vs ARI | 33 | 14 |
| Oct 26, 2026at PHI | 38 | 38 |
| Oct 18, 2026at GB | 9 | 0 |
| Oct 8, 2026vs TB | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 4, 2026at HOU | 12 | 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026vs BAL | 17 | 22 |
| Jan 4, 2026at HOU | 3 | 3 |
| Dec 22, 2025vs SF | 9 | 9 |
| Dec 14, 2025at SEA | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 7, 2025at JAX | 0 | 0 |
| Average · last 10 games | 12.1 | 9.8 |
RUSH YDS: Early projection · no line posted yet
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Tyler Goodson has averaged 18.4 yards over his last 5 games and 18.2 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Nov 1, 2026): 21.8 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Tyler Goodson’s rush + rec yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Tyler Goodson’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- IND
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- IND allowed the 25th-most scrimmage yards to RBs in 2025 111.1 yards/game · 25th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Tyler Goodson, answered here:
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