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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Wed 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Wed, Nov 4, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 27.5 | No line yet | – |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 30.1 | No line yet | – |
Recent rushing yards
20.4Average rushing yards, last 8 (8 games)
Current through Nov 1
| Game | RUSH YDS | RUSH+REC |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at JAX | 29 | 29 |
| Oct 25, 2026at MIN | 46 | 48 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs TEN | 27 | 27 |
| Oct 11, 2026at PIT | 16 | 19 |
| Oct 4, 2026vs WSH | 31 | 38 |
| Sep 27, 2026vs HOU | 14 | 14 |
| Sep 20, 2026at KC | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13, 2026vs BAL | 0 | 0 |
| Average · last 8 games | 20.4 | 21.9 |
RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Seth McGowan has averaged 29.8 yards over his last 5 games and 20.4 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Seth McGowan’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Seth McGowan’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- DAL
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- DAL allowed the 18th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 95.2 yards/game · 18th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Seth McGowan, answered here:
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