StatIQPlayer projections, with the receipts

Will Mallory Projections

IND · TE · #86

Next game vs DAL · Week 9 · Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET

11.2StatIQ projection · receiving yards
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Projections & lines

Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Wed 5:14 PM ET

Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Wed, Nov 4, 5:14 PM ET.

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Receiving Yards11.2No line yet–
Receptions1.1No line yet–

Recent receiving yards

7.2Average receiving yards, last 5 (5 games)

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 ProjectionBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game.

Current through Nov 1

Last 5 games
GameREC YDSREC
Nov 1, 2026at JAX00
Oct 25, 2026at MIN00
Oct 18, 2026vs TEN202
Dec 28, 2025vs JAX161
Oct 5, 2025vs LV00
Average · last 5 games7.20.6

REC: Early projection · no line posted yet

Stats and game log: receptions

Will Mallory’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted

Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Will Mallory has averaged 7.2 yards over his last 5 games and 6.7 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Nov 1, 2026): 8.6 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.

Projection
StatIQ’s single number for Will Mallory’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Actual
Will Mallory’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
Opponent
DAL
Kickoff
Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
Availability
Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense
DAL allowed the 17th-most receiving yards to TEs in 2025 51.7 yards/game · 17th of 32

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