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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 38.0 | No line yet | – |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 37.6 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 4.3 | No line yet | – |
Recent receiving yards
48.7Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 1
| Game | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at NYJ | 53 | 53 | 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026vs LAR | 32 | 32 | 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs BUF | 95 | 95 | 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026at NE | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026vs KC | 82 | 82 | 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026at NO | 32 | 32 | 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026at LAC | 23 | 23 | 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026vs MIA | 32 | 32 | 6 |
| Jan 4, 2026vs KC | 47 | 47 | 3 |
| Dec 28, 2025vs NYG | 89 | 89 | 9 |
| Average · last 10 games | 48.7 | 48.7 | 4.8 |
RUSH+REC, REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Michael Mayer has averaged 52.8 yards over his last 5 games and 43.9 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Michael Mayer’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Michael Mayer’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- SF
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- SF allowed the 13th-most receiving yards to TEs in 2025 56.9 yards/game · 13th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Michael Mayer, answered here:
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