Brock Bowers receiving yards projection vs the line

LV · TE · #89

Next game at SF · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET

63.9StatIQ projection · receiving yards

75.5Line · consensus

−11.6Gap

Compare

Save this research

Free account. You come back to this page.

Follows are saved on this device.

Projections & lines

3 markets

Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6

Compare prices · 3 books quoted

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Receiving Yards	63.9	75.5	−11.6
Rush + Rec Yards	68.6	No line yet	–
Receptions	6.0	6.5	−0.6

Recent receiving yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

71.7Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 75.5 in 4 of 10 · past results, not odds

Nov 30

Dec 7

Dec 14

Dec 21

116

Sep 27

Oct 4

110

Oct 11

Oct 18

Oct 25

Nov 1

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±21.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±21.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
Game	REC YDS	RUSH+REC	REC
Nov 1, 2026at NYJ	92	92	7
Oct 25, 2026vs LAR	73	73	6
Oct 18, 2026vs BUF	70	70	4
Oct 11, 2026at NE	110	110	8
Oct 4, 2026vs KC	86	86	6
Sep 27, 2026at NO	116	116	10
Dec 21, 2025at HOU	33	33	5
Dec 14, 2025at PHI	28	28	6
Dec 7, 2025vs DEN	46	46	4
Nov 30, 2025at LAC	63	63	4
Average · last 10 games	71.7	71.7	6

RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet

Stats and game log: receptions

Brock Bowers’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections

21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

326 of 481 within 25 yards

326 of 481 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Brock Bowers has averaged 86.2 yards over his last 5 games and 91.2 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for Brock Bowers’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (−11.6 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: Brock Bowers’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

This matchup

The rest of LV vs SF

Opponent: SF
Kickoff: Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense: SF allowed the 13th-most receiving yards to TEs in 2025 56.9 yards/game · 13th of 32

Compare prices

Receiving Yards · Brock Bowers

Receiving Yards · line 75.5.

3 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −115.

Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.

Research

Ask Explorer about Brock Bowers

Questions to ask Explorer about Brock Bowers, answered here:

Your 7-day Founders trial starts as soon as your account is confirmed. No card.

Every tool, every sport, and every pre-tip pick we post when qualifying opportunities exist. Nothing is charged when it ends. Your account goes back to the free tier.

Create a free account