Tre Tucker receiving yards projection vs the line

LV · WR · #1

Next game at SF · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET

47.1StatIQ projection · receiving yards

40.5Line · consensus

+6.6Gap

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Projections & lines

3 markets

Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6

Compare prices · 6 books quoted

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Receiving Yards	47.1	40.5	+6.6
Rush + Rec Yards	44.5	No line yet	–
Receptions	3.1	3.5	−0.4

Recent receiving yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

55.3Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 40.5 in 7 of 10 · past results, not odds

Dec 28

Jan 4

Sep 13

119

Sep 20

Sep 27

Oct 4

Oct 11

Oct 18

103

Oct 25

Nov 1

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±21.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±21.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
Game	REC YDS	RUSH+REC	REC
Nov 1, 2026at NYJ	0	0	0
Oct 25, 2026vs LAR	103	103	5
Oct 18, 2026vs BUF	97	97	5
Oct 11, 2026at NE	41	35	4
Oct 4, 2026vs KC	44	44	4
Sep 27, 2026at NO	43	43	4
Sep 20, 2026at LAC	119	119	5
Sep 13, 2026vs MIA	27	27	2
Jan 4, 2026vs KC	30	34	2
Dec 28, 2025vs NYG	49	49	5
Average · last 10 games	55.3	55.1	3.6

RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet

Stats and game log: receptions

Tre Tucker’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections

21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

326 of 481 within 25 yards

326 of 481 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Tre Tucker has averaged 57 yards over his last 5 games and 59.3 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for Tre Tucker’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (+6.6 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: Tre Tucker’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

This matchup

The rest of LV vs SF

Opponent: SF
Kickoff: Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense: SF allowed the 12th-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 146.6 yards/game · 12th of 32

Compare prices

Receiving Yards · Tre Tucker

Receiving Yards · line 40.5.

6 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −117 · Under −113.

Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.

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