Mike Washington Jr. rushing yards projection vs the line
LV · RB · #4
Next game at SF · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
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Projections & lines
Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 3 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 50.1 | 32.5 | +17.6 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 51.5 | No line yet | – |
Recent rushing yards
34.8Average rushing yards, last 8 (8 games)Over 32.5 in 4 of 8 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | RUSH YDS | RUSH+REC |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at NYJ | 83 | 83 |
| Oct 25, 2026vs LAR | 27 | 27 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs BUF | 43 | 50 |
| Oct 11, 2026at NE | 5 | 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026vs KC | 18 | 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026at NO | 54 | 54 |
| Sep 20, 2026at LAC | 7 | 7 |
| Sep 13, 2026vs MIA | 41 | 41 |
| Average · last 8 games | 34.8 | 36.1 |
RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections
26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
90 of 157 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Mike Washington Jr. has averaged 35.2 yards over his last 5 games and 34.8 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Mike Washington Jr.’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+17.6 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Mike Washington Jr.’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- SF
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- SF allowed the 19th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 93.1 yards/game · 19th of 32
Compare prices
Rushing Yards · line 32.5.
3 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −114 · Under −114.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Mike Washington Jr., answered here:
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