Drake London receiving yards projection vs the line
ATL · WR · #5
Next game Opponent: CIN · neutral site · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET
More
Projections & lines
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 3 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 80.1 | 79.5 | +0.6 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 82.0 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 5.1 | 5.5 | −0.4 |
Recent receiving yards
70.6Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 79.5 in 3 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at TB | 8 | 8 | 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026vs SF | 66 | 66 | 7 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs CHI | 62 | 62 | 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026vs BAL | 118 | 118 | 7 |
| Oct 5, 2026at NO | 96 | 96 | 5 |
| Sep 24, 2026at GB | 194 | 194 | 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs CAR | 51 | 49 | 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026at PIT | 29 | 35 | 2 |
| Jan 4, 2026vs NO | 78 | 78 | 4 |
| Dec 29, 2025vs LAR | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Average · last 10 games | 70.6 | 71 | 4.4 |
RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
326 of 481 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Drake London has averaged 70 yards over his last 5 games and 78 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Drake London’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+0.6 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Drake London’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- CIN · neutral site
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- CIN allowed the 30th-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 115.2 yards/game · 30th of 32
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 79.5.
3 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −117 · Under −115.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Drake London, answered here:
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