Bijan Robinson rushing yards projection vs the line

ATL · RB · #7

Next game Opponent: CIN · neutral site · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET

89.3StatIQ projection · rushing yards

93.5Line · consensus

−4.2Gap

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Projections & lines

4 markets

Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6

Compare prices · 1 book quoted

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Rushing Yards	89.3	93.5	−4.2
Receiving Yards	27.0	24.5	+2.5
Rush + Rec Yards	114.5	123.5	−9.0
Receptions	3.1	3.5	−0.4

Recent rushing yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

100.8Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 93.5 in 3 of 10 · past results, not odds

195

Dec 29

Jan 4

Sep 13

Sep 20

194

Sep 24

145

Oct 5

Oct 11

Oct 18

Oct 25

Nov 1

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±26.0 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±26.0 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
Game	RUSH YDS	REC YDS	RUSH+REC	REC
Nov 1, 2026at TB	76	0	76	0
Oct 25, 2026vs SF	63	59	122	5
Oct 18, 2026vs CHI	61	-8	53	2
Oct 11, 2026vs BAL	86	32	118	4
Oct 5, 2026at NO	145	2	147	1
Sep 24, 2026at GB	194	19	213	2
Sep 20, 2026vs CAR	72	9	81	3
Sep 13, 2026at PIT	83	90	173	8
Jan 4, 2026vs NO	33	10	43	3
Dec 29, 2025vs LAR	195	34	229	5
Average · last 10 games	100.8	24.7	125.5	3.3

Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions

Bijan Robinson’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections

26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

90 of 157 within 25 yards

90 of 157 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Bijan Robinson has averaged 86.2 yards over his last 5 games and 97.5 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (−4.2 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: Bijan Robinson’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

This matchup

The rest of ATL vs CIN

Opponent: CIN · neutral site
Kickoff: Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense: CIN allowed the 1st-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 119.2 yards/game · 1st of 32

Compare prices

Rushing Yards · Bijan Robinson

Rushing Yards · line 93.5.

1 book has a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −113 · Under −114.

Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.

Research

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