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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 11.6 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 0.9 | No line yet | – |
Recent receiving yards
16.8Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 1
| Game | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026vs ATL | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 25, 2026at CAR | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 4, 2026vs NO | 11 | 1 |
| Dec 29, 2025vs LAR | 37 | 3 |
| Dec 21, 2025at ARI | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 11, 2025at TB | 78 | 6 |
| Dec 7, 2025vs SEA | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 30, 2025at NYJ | 15 | 2 |
| Nov 23, 2025at NO | 16 | 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025vs CAR | 11 | 1 |
| Average · last 10 games | 16.8 | 1.5 |
REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, David Sills has averaged 9.6 yards over his last 5 games and 0 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Nov 1, 2026): 25.2 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for David Sills’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- David Sills’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- CHI
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- CHI allowed the 7th-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 160.1 yards/game · 7th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about David Sills, answered here:
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