StatIQPlayer projections, with the receipts

Cade Otton Projections

TB · TE · #88

Next game at CHI · Week 9 · Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET

29.5StatIQ projection · receiving yards
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Projections & lines

Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET

Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Receiving Yards29.5No line yet–
Receptions3.0No line yet–

Recent receiving yards

31.3Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 ProjectionBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game.

Current through Nov 1

Last 10 games
GameREC YDSREC
Nov 1, 2026vs ATL00
Oct 25, 2026at CAR00
Oct 18, 2026vs PIT41
Oct 8, 2026at DAL253
Oct 4, 2026vs GB374
Sep 27, 2026vs MIN563
Sep 20, 2026vs CLE385
Sep 13, 2026at CIN263
Jan 3, 2026vs CAR947
Dec 28, 2025at MIA334
Average · last 10 games31.33

REC: Early projection · no line posted yet

Stats and game log: receptions

Cade Otton’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted

Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Cade Otton has averaged 13.2 yards over his last 5 games and 23.3 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Nov 1, 2026): 24.4 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.

Projection
StatIQ’s single number for Cade Otton’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Actual
Cade Otton’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
Opponent
CHI
Kickoff
Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
Availability
Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense
CHI allowed the 19th-most receiving yards to TEs in 2025 51.5 yards/game · 19th of 32

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