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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 29.3 | No line yet | – |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 29.9 | No line yet | – |
Recent rushing yards
31.1Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Oct 11
| Game | RUSH YDS | RUSH+REC |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026at TEN | 11 | 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026vs DAL | 24 | 43 |
| Sep 27, 2026at IND | 33 | 48 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs CIN | 10 | 24 |
| Sep 13, 2026vs BUF | 60 | 79 |
| Jan 4, 2026at CHI | 42 | 55 |
| Dec 25, 2025at MIN | 25 | 40 |
| Dec 21, 2025vs PIT | 14 | 14 |
| Dec 14, 2025at LAR | 32 | 32 |
| Dec 4, 2025vs DAL | 60 | 73 |
| Average · last 10 games | 31.1 | 41.9 |
RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: rushing yards
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, David Montgomery has averaged 27.6 yards over his last 5 games and 27.6 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for David Montgomery’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- David Montgomery’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- LAC
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- LAC allowed the 24th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 84.8 yards/game · 24th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about David Montgomery, answered here:
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