StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jaylin Noel Projections

HOU · WR · #13
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DAL
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
28.2receiving yards projected vs DAL
Season average 33.7 · Last five 33.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
01530455953BUF31CIN17INDStatIQ projection 28.2
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ IND17
Sep 20, 2026vs vs CIN31
Sep 13, 2026vs vs BUF53
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Jaylin Noel
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Jaylin Noel trending lately?33.6 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Jaylin Noel, 28.2 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Jaylin Noel for 28.2 receiving yards against DAL in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jaylin Noel has averaged 33.6 yards over his last 5 games and 33.7 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Jaylin Noel’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DAL
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
33.6 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Jaylin Noel vs DAL?

StatIQ projects Jaylin Noel for 28.2 yards receiving yards against DAL in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Jaylin Noel performed in receiving yards recently?

Jaylin Noel has averaged 33.6 yards over his last 5 games and 33.7 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of DAL vs HOU
the whole game
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