StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Christian McCaffrey Projections

SF · RB · #23
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DEN
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
98.9rush + rec yards projected vs DEN
Season average 90 · Last five 101.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 28.8 yards of the result
Recent rush + rec yards
032659713088LAR66MIA116ARIStatIQ projection 98.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH+REC
Sep 27, 2026vs vs ARI116
Sep 20, 2026vs vs MIA66
Sep 11, 2026vs vs LAR88
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Christian McCaffrey
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Christian McCaffrey trending lately?101.6 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Christian McCaffrey, 98.9 rush + rec yards

StatIQ projects Christian McCaffrey for 98.9 rush + rec yards against DEN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Christian McCaffrey has averaged 101.6 yards over his last 5 games and 90 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 184 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Christian McCaffrey’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rush + Rec Yards track record
28.8yards
average projection miss
184 completed rush + rec yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DEN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
101.6 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rush + rec yards projection for Christian McCaffrey vs DEN?

StatIQ projects Christian McCaffrey for 98.9 yards rush + rec yards against DEN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Christian McCaffrey performed in rush + rec yards recently?

Christian McCaffrey has averaged 101.6 yards over his last 5 games and 90 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rush + rec yards projections?

Across 184 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of DEN vs SF
the whole game
See the full NFL slate