StatIQPlayer projections, with the receipts

Brandon Aiyuk Projections

SF · WR · #11

Next game vs LV · Week 9 · Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET

57.2StatIQ projection · rush + rec yards
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Projections & lines

Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET

Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Rush + Rec Yards57.2No line yet–
Receiving Yards51.2No line yet–
Receptions3.6No line yet–

Recent rush + rec yards

53.4Average rush + rec yards, last 7 (7 games)

Actual ProjectionBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game.

Current through Oct 20

Last 7 games
GameRUSH+RECREC YDSREC
Oct 20, 2024vs KC23232
Oct 10, 2024at SEA37372
Oct 6, 2024vs ARI1471478
Sep 29, 2024vs NE48482
Sep 22, 2024at LAR48485
Sep 15, 2024at MIN43434
Sep 9, 2024vs NYJ28282
Average · last 7 games53.453.43.6

REC YDS, REC: Early projection · no line posted yet

Stats and game log: receptions

Brandon Aiyuk’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted

Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Brandon Aiyuk has averaged 60.6 yards over his last 5 games and 53.4 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection
StatIQ’s single number for Brandon Aiyuk’s rush + rec yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Actual
Brandon Aiyuk’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
Opponent
LV
Kickoff
Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
Availability
Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense
LV allowed the 12th-most scrimmage yards to WRs in 2025 149.2 yards/game · 12th of 32

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