StatIQPlayer projections, with the receipts

Tyler Higbee Projections

LA · TE · #89

Next game at WAS · Week 9 · Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET

34.8StatIQ projection · receiving yards
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Projections & lines

Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET

Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Receiving Yards34.8No line yet–
Receptions3.1No line yet–

Recent receiving yards

38.8Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 ProjectionBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game.

Current through Nov 1

Last 10 games
GameREC YDSREC
Nov 1, 2026vs LAC141
Oct 25, 2026at LV142
Oct 18, 2026vs ARI224
Oct 12, 2026vs BUF835
Oct 4, 2026at PHI675
Sep 27, 2026at DEN628
Sep 21, 2026vs NYG00
Sep 10, 2026vs SF122
Jan 4, 2026vs ARI915
Nov 16, 2025vs SEA231
Average · last 10 games38.83.3

REC: Early projection · no line posted yet

Stats and game log: receptions

Tyler Higbee’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted

Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Tyler Higbee has averaged 40 yards over his last 5 games and 34.3 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection
StatIQ’s single number for Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Actual
Tyler Higbee’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
Opponent
WAS
Kickoff
Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
Availability
Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense
WAS allowed the 7th-most receiving yards to TEs in 2025 61.2 yards/game · 7th of 32

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