Tucker Kraft receiving yards projection vs the line

GB · TE · #85

Next game at NE · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

45.4StatIQ projection · receiving yards

45.5Line · consensus

−0.1Gap

Compare

Save this research

Free account. You come back to this page.

Follows are saved on this device.

Projections & lines

3 markets

Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6

Compare prices · 6 books quoted

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Receiving Yards	45.4	45.5	−0.1
Rush + Rec Yards	42.5	No line yet	–
Receptions	4.0	4.5	−0.6

Recent receiving yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

51.3Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 45.5 in 5 of 10 · past results, not odds

143

Oct 26

Nov 2

Sep 13

Sep 20

Sep 24

Oct 4

Oct 11

Oct 18

Oct 25

Oct 29

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±21.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±21.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Oct 29 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
Game	REC YDS	RUSH+REC	REC
Oct 29, 2026vs CAR	53	53	6
Oct 25, 2026at DET	48	48	4
Oct 18, 2026vs DAL	37	37	5
Oct 11, 2026vs CHI	64	66	5
Oct 4, 2026at TB	42	45	6
Sep 24, 2026vs ATL	26	26	4
Sep 20, 2026at NYJ	15	15	2
Sep 13, 2026at MIN	65	65	3
Nov 2, 2025vs CAR	20	20	2
Oct 26, 2025at PIT	143	143	7
Average · last 10 games	51.3	51.8	4.4

RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet

Stats and game log: receptions

Tucker Kraft’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections

21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

326 of 481 within 25 yards

326 of 481 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Tucker Kraft has averaged 48.8 yards over his last 5 games and 43.8 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for Tucker Kraft’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (−0.1 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: Tucker Kraft’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

This matchup

The rest of GB vs NE

Opponent: NE
Kickoff: Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense: NE allowed the 8th-most receiving yards to TEs in 2025 60.7 yards/game · 8th of 32

Compare prices

Receiving Yards · Tucker Kraft

Receiving Yards · line 45.5.

6 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −114 · Under −115.

Prices as of Nov 6, 3:13 AM ET.

Research

Ask Explorer about Tucker Kraft

Questions to ask Explorer about Tucker Kraft, answered here:

Your 7-day Founders trial starts as soon as your account is confirmed. No card.

Every tool, every sport, and every pre-tip pick we post when qualifying opportunities exist. Nothing is charged when it ends. Your account goes back to the free tier.

Create a free account