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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 38.2 | No line yet | – |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 38.8 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 3.8 | No line yet | – |
Recent receiving yards
37.5Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 1
| Game | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at DET | 58 | 58 | 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026vs IND | 35 | 35 | 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026at NO | 7 | 7 | 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026vs MIA | 119 | 119 | 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026at TB | 11 | 11 | 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026at CHI | 29 | 29 | 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026vs GB | 36 | 36 | 4 |
| Dec 21, 2025at NYG | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025at DAL | 66 | 66 | 4 |
| Dec 7, 2025vs WSH | 12 | 12 | 2 |
| Average · last 10 games | 37.5 | 37.5 | 3.8 |
RUSH+REC, REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, T.J. Hockenson has averaged 46 yards over his last 5 games and 42.1 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for T.J. Hockenson’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- T.J. Hockenson’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- BUF
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- BUF allowed the 31st-most receiving yards to TEs in 2025 31.5 yards/game · 31st of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about T.J. Hockenson, answered here:
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