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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | 212.4 | No line yet | – |
| Rushing Yards | 28.1 | No line yet | – |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 28.3 | No line yet | – |
| Passing Touchdowns | 1.0 | No line yet | – |
Recent passing yards
182.1Average passing yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 1
| Game | PASS YDS | RUSH YDS | RUSH+REC | PASS TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at DET | 210 | 35 | 35 | 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026vs IND | 150 | 39 | 39 | 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026at NO | 229 | 51 | 51 | 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026vs MIA | 247 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| Sep 27, 2026at TB | 168 | 17 | 17 | 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026vs GB | 18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| Oct 5, 2025vs TEN | 220 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| Sep 25, 2025vs SEA | 200 | 41 | 41 | 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025at SF | 159 | 37 | 37 | 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025vs CAR | 220 | 32 | 32 | 1 |
| Average · last 10 games | 182.1 | 30.2 | 30.2 | 0.9 |
RUSH YDS, RUSH+REC, PASS TD: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: rushing yards
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Kyler Murray has averaged 200.8 yards over his last 5 games and 170.3 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Kyler Murray’s passing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Kyler Murray’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- BUF
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- BUF allowed the 32nd-most passing yards to QBs in 2025 170.2 yards/game · 32nd of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Kyler Murray, answered here:
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