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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 37.6 | No line yet | – |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 46.5 | No line yet | – |
Recent rushing yards
46.1Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 1
| Game | RUSH YDS | RUSH+REC |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at DET | 20 | 20 |
| Oct 25, 2026vs IND | 68 | 68 |
| Sep 13, 2026vs GB | 59 | 59 |
| Jan 4, 2026vs GB | 94 | 94 |
| Dec 21, 2025at NYG | 5 | 11 |
| Dec 14, 2025at DAL | 29 | 29 |
| Dec 7, 2025vs WSH | 52 | 52 |
| Nov 30, 2025at SEA | 47 | 48 |
| Nov 23, 2025at GB | 42 | 42 |
| Nov 16, 2025vs CHI | 45 | 45 |
| Average · last 10 games | 46.1 | 46.8 |
RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Jordan Mason has averaged 49.2 yards over his last 5 games and 49 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Jordan Mason’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Jordan Mason’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- BUF
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- BUF allowed the 6th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 107.3 yards/game · 6th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Jordan Mason, answered here:
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