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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush + Rec Yards | 35.6 | No line yet | – |
| Rushing Yards | 21.8 | No line yet | – |
| Receiving Yards | 13.1 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 1.4 | No line yet | – |
Recent rush + rec yards
20.0Average rush + rec yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 2
| Game | RUSH+REC | RUSH YDS | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026at SEA | 28 | 17 | 11 | 1 |
| Oct 22, 2026vs NE | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 18, 2026at ATL | 85 | 51 | 34 | 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026at GB | 40 | 6 | 34 | 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026vs NYJ | 23 | 16 | 7 | 1 |
| Sep 28, 2026vs PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 16, 2025at MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 9, 2025vs NYG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 19, 2025vs NO | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Average · last 10 games | 20 | 11.4 | 8.6 | 0.9 |
RUSH YDS, REC YDS, REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: rushing yards · receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Roschon Johnson has averaged 37.8 yards over his last 5 games and 27 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Roschon Johnson’s rush + rec yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Roschon Johnson’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- TB
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- TB allowed the 13th-most scrimmage yards to RBs in 2025 128.9 yards/game · 13th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Roschon Johnson, answered here:
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