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Quinshon Judkins rushing yards projection vs the line

CLE · RB · #10

Next game at NO · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

52.3StatIQ projection · rushing yards
68.5Line · consensus
−16.2Gap
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Projections & lines

Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6

Compare prices · 4 books quoted

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Rushing Yards52.368.5−16.2
Receiving Yards16.9No line yet–
Rush + Rec Yards66.3No line yet–
Receptions2.5No line yet–

Recent rushing yards

41.1Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 68.5 in 2 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±26.0 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±26.0 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
GameRUSH YDSREC YDSRUSH+RECREC
Nov 1, 2026at PIT2524492
Oct 25, 2026at TEN9681041
Oct 11, 2026at NYJ446503
Oct 1, 2026vs PIT5343966
Sep 27, 2026vs CAR709792
Sep 20, 2026at TB2127485
Sep 13, 2026at JAX3317502
Dec 21, 2025vs BUF2229515
Dec 14, 2025at CHI21-4173
Dec 7, 2025vs TEN2658841
Average · last 10 games41.121.762.83

REC YDS, RUSH+REC, REC: Early projection · no line posted yet

Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions

Quinshon Judkins’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections

26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

90 of 157 within 25 yards

0 yards25200 yards
90 of 157 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Quinshon Judkins has averaged 57.6 yards over his last 5 games and 48.9 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection
StatIQ’s single number for Quinshon Judkins’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line
The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap
Projection minus the line (−16.2 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss
The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual
Quinshon Judkins’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
Opponent
NO
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Availability
Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense
NO allowed the 11th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 102.7 yards/game · 11th of 32

Compare prices

Rushing Yards · line 68.5.

4 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −115.

Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.

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