Denzel Boston receiving yards projection vs the line
CLE · WR · #12
Next game at NO · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
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Projections & lines
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 2 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 55.4 | 45.5 | +9.9 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 57.5 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 3.5 | +0.2 |
Recent receiving yards
51.1Average receiving yards, last 8 (8 games)Over 45.5 in 4 of 8 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at PIT | 37 | 37 | 6 |
| Oct 25, 2026at TEN | 27 | 27 | 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs BAL | 15 | 15 | 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026at NYJ | 46 | 46 | 3 |
| Oct 1, 2026vs PIT | 89 | 89 | 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026vs CAR | 41 | 41 | 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026at TB | 95 | 95 | 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026at JAX | 59 | 59 | 2 |
| Average · last 8 games | 51.1 | 51.1 | 3.3 |
RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
326 of 481 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Denzel Boston has averaged 42.8 yards over his last 5 games and 51.1 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Denzel Boston’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+9.9 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Denzel Boston’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- NO
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- NO allowed the 26th-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 121.5 yards/game · 26th of 32
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 45.5.
2 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −115.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Denzel Boston, answered here:
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