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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 14.9 | No line yet | – |
| Receiving Yards | 20.8 | No line yet | – |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 44.0 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 2.5 | No line yet | – |
Recent rushing yards
17.6Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 1
| Game | RUSH YDS | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at PIT | 7 | 62 | 69 | 6 |
| Oct 25, 2026at TEN | 45 | 32 | 77 | 3 |
| Jan 4, 2026at CIN | 32 | 12 | 44 | 2 |
| Dec 28, 2025vs PIT | 27 | 0 | 27 | 3 |
| Dec 7, 2025vs TEN | 4 | 64 | 68 | 5 |
| Nov 30, 2025vs SF | 23 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| Nov 23, 2025at LV | 23 | 59 | 82 | 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025vs BAL | 19 | 0 | 19 | 0 |
| Nov 9, 2025at NYJ | -4 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025at NE | 0 | 29 | 29 | 5 |
| Average · last 10 games | 17.6 | 26.1 | 43.7 | 2.7 |
REC YDS, RUSH+REC, REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Dylan Sampson has averaged 23 yards over his last 5 games and 26 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Nov 1, 2026): 22.2 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Dylan Sampson’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Dylan Sampson’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- NO
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- NO allowed the 11th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 102.7 yards/game · 11th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Dylan Sampson, answered here:
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