Quentin Johnston receiving yards projection vs the line
LAC · WR · #1
Next game vs HOU · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
More
Projections & lines
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 5 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 44.0 | 30.5 | +13.5 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.5 | +0.5 |
Recent receiving yards
43.5Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 30.5 in 6 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at LAR | 37 | 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026at KC | 57 | 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026at SEA | 44 | 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026at BUF | 40 | 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs LV | 7 | 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026vs ARI | 17 | 2 |
| Dec 27, 2025vs HOU | 98 | 5 |
| Dec 21, 2025at DAL | 104 | 4 |
| Dec 8, 2025vs PHI | 8 | 2 |
| Nov 30, 2025vs LV | 23 | 3 |
| Average · last 10 games | 43.5 | 2.6 |
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
326 of 481 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Quentin Johnston has averaged 37 yards over his last 5 games, 33.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 98 yards across 1 game against HOU; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Quentin Johnston’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+13.5 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Quentin Johnston’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- HOU
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- HOU allowed the 23rd-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 127.2 yards/game · 23rd of 32
- Against HOU
- 98 yards a game 1 previous meeting · small sample
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 30.5.
5 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −115.
Prices as of Nov 6, 3:13 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Quentin Johnston, answered here:
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