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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush + Rec Yards | 103.7 | No line yet | – |
| Receiving Yards | 94.4 | 93.5 | +0.9 |
| Receptions | 7.1 | 8.5 | −1.4 |
Recent rush + rec yards
114.7Average rush + rec yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 1
| Game | RUSH+REC | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026vs LAC | 80 | 80 | 11 |
| Oct 25, 2026at LV | 78 | 68 | 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs ARI | 80 | 80 | 6 |
| Oct 12, 2026vs BUF | 147 | 138 | 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026at PHI | 127 | 125 | 9 |
| Sep 10, 2026vs SF | 74 | 74 | 5 |
| Jan 4, 2026vs ARI | 100 | 76 | 10 |
| Dec 29, 2025at ATL | 47 | 47 | 5 |
| Dec 18, 2025at SEA | 225 | 225 | 12 |
| Dec 14, 2025vs DET | 189 | 181 | 9 |
| Average · last 10 games | 114.7 | 109.4 | 9.2 |
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Puka Nacua has averaged 102.4 yards over his last 5 games and 97.7 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Puka Nacua’s rush + rec yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Puka Nacua’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- WAS
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- WAS allowed the 5th-most scrimmage yards to WRs in 2025 169.1 yards/game · 5th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Puka Nacua, answered here:
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