Patrick Mahomes Projections
| Date | Opponent | PASS TD |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ @ MIA | 2 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | vs vs IND | 3 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | vs vs DEN | 2 |
Projection context: Patrick Mahomes, 1.8 passing touchdowns
StatIQ projects Patrick Mahomes for 1.8 passing touchdowns against LV in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.
What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Patrick Mahomes has averaged 1.4 over his last 5 games, 2.3 per game this season (2026), and 3 across 1 game against LV. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.
- Opponent
- LV
- Kickoff
- Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
- Status
- No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
- Recent form
- 1.4 over the last 5
What is StatIQ's passing touchdowns projection for Patrick Mahomes vs LV?
StatIQ projects Patrick Mahomes for 1.8 passing touchdowns against LV in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
How has Patrick Mahomes performed in passing touchdowns recently?
Patrick Mahomes has averaged 1.4 over his last 5 games, 2.3 per game this season (2026), and 3 across 1 game against LV. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
How accurate are StatIQ's passing touchdowns projections?
Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.