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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 17.4 | No line yet | – |
| Receiving Yards | 10.2 | No line yet | – |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 28.2 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 1.5 | No line yet | – |
Recent rushing yards
18.6Average rushing yards, last 8 (8 games)
Current through Oct 29
| Game | RUSH YDS | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026vs CAR | 7 | 9 | 16 | 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026at DET | 20 | 15 | 35 | 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs DAL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| Oct 11, 2026vs CHI | 31 | 6 | 37 | 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026at TB | 13 | 36 | 49 | 5 |
| Sep 24, 2026vs ATL | 11 | 7 | 18 | 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026at NYJ | 20 | 6 | 26 | 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026at MIN | 37 | 0 | 37 | 0 |
| Average · last 8 games | 18.6 | 9.9 | 28.5 | 1.6 |
REC YDS, RUSH+REC, REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, MarShawn Lloyd has averaged 16.2 yards over his last 5 games and 18.6 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for MarShawn Lloyd’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- MarShawn Lloyd’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- NE
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- NE allowed the 28th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 77.1 yards/game · 28th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about MarShawn Lloyd, answered here:
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