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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush + Rec Yards | 67.0 | No line yet | – |
| Receiving Yards | 66.5 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 4.9 | No line yet | – |
Recent rush + rec yards
75.9Average rush + rec yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 2
| Game | RUSH+REC | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026at SEA | 56 | 56 | 7 |
| Oct 22, 2026vs NE | 137 | 130 | 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026at ATL | 95 | 95 | 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026at GB | 49 | 47 | 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026vs NYJ | 74 | 63 | 4 |
| Sep 28, 2026vs PHI | 68 | 61 | 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs MIN | 32 | 32 | 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026at CAR | 65 | 63 | 5 |
| Jan 4, 2026vs DET | 45 | 35 | 3 |
| Dec 28, 2025at SF | 138 | 138 | 8 |
| Average · last 10 games | 75.9 | 72 | 5.3 |
REC YDS, REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Luther Burden III has averaged 82.2 yards over his last 5 games and 72 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Luther Burden III’s rush + rec yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Luther Burden III’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- TB
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- TB allowed the 11th-most scrimmage yards to WRs in 2025 149.4 yards/game · 11th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Luther Burden III, answered here:
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