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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 8.0 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 1.0 | No line yet | – |
Recent receiving yards
9.7Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Jan 8
| Game | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023at GB | 11 | 1 |
| Dec 24, 2022at CAR | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 18, 2022at NYJ | 15 | 1 |
| Dec 11, 2022vs MIN | 12 | 1 |
| Dec 4, 2022vs JAX | 19 | 3 |
| Nov 24, 2022vs BUF | 15 | 1 |
| Nov 20, 2022at NYG | 11 | 1 |
| Nov 13, 2022at CHI | 14 | 2 |
| Nov 6, 2022vs GB | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 30, 2022vs MIA | 0 | 0 |
| Average · last 10 games | 9.7 | 1 |
REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Justin Jackson has averaged 11.4 yards over his last 5 games, 6.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 0 yards across 1 game against MIA; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Justin Jackson’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Justin Jackson’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- MIA
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- MIA allowed the 9th-most receiving yards to RBs in 2025 35.5 yards/game · 9th of 32
- Against MIA
- 0 yards a game 1 previous meeting · small sample
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Justin Jackson, answered here:
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