Jonah Coleman rush + rec yards projection vs the line
DEN · RB · #20
Next game at CAR · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
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Projections & lines
Average miss 28.9 yards · NFL rush + rec yards model · 139 graded projections · Updated Nov 5
Compare prices · 6 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush + Rec Yards | 63.8 | 83.5 | −19.7 |
| Rushing Yards | 45.4 | 55.5 | −10.2 |
| Receiving Yards | 20.7 | 24.5 | −3.8 |
| Receptions | 2.4 | 3.5 | −1.1 |
Recent rush + rec yards
77.0Average rush + rec yards, last 3 (3 games)Over 83.5 in 1 of 3 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | RUSH+REC | RUSH YDS | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026vs KC | 104 | 41 | 63 | 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026at ARI | 69 | 54 | 15 | 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs JAX | 58 | 39 | 19 | 3 |
| Average · last 3 games | 77 | 44.7 | 32.3 | 3 |
Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL rush + rec yards model · 139 graded projections
28.9 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Jonah Coleman has averaged 77 yards over his last 3 games and 77 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Nov 1, 2026): 57.8 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Jonah Coleman’s rush + rec yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (−19.7 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our rush + rec yards projection and the actual result, over 139 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Jonah Coleman’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- CAR
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- CAR allowed the 8th-most scrimmage yards to RBs in 2025 135 yards/game · 8th of 32
Compare prices
Rush + Rec Yards · line 83.5.
6 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −114 · Under −115.
Prices as of Nov 5, 6:45 PM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Jonah Coleman, answered here:
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