J.K. Dobbins rushing yards projection vs the line
DEN · RB · #27
Next game at CAR · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
More
Projections & lines
Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 3 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 42.4 | 25.5 | +16.9 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 36.0 | No line yet | – |
Recent rushing yards
44.4Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 25.5 in 8 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | RUSH YDS | RUSH+REC |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026vs KC | 13 | 13 |
| Oct 25, 2026at ARI | 23 | 23 |
| Oct 15, 2026vs SEA | 41 | 46 |
| Oct 11, 2026at LAC | 68 | 74 |
| Oct 4, 2026at SF | 40 | 52 |
| Sep 27, 2026vs LAR | 49 | 53 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs JAX | 36 | 36 |
| Sep 14, 2026at KC | 36 | 36 |
| Nov 6, 2025vs LV | 77 | 84 |
| Nov 2, 2025at HOU | 61 | 59 |
| Average · last 10 games | 44.4 | 47.6 |
RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections
26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
90 of 157 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, J.K. Dobbins has averaged 37 yards over his last 5 games and 38.3 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for J.K. Dobbins’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+16.9 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- J.K. Dobbins’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- CAR
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- CAR allowed the 8th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 106.4 yards/game · 8th of 32
Compare prices
Rushing Yards · line 25.5.
3 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −113.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about J.K. Dobbins, answered here:
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