StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Brock Purdy Projections

SF · QB · #13
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DEN
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS TDPASS YDS
1.5passing touchdowns projected vs DEN
Season average 3 · Last five 2.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1 of the result
Recent passing touchdowns
012343LAR2MIA4ARIStatIQ projection 1.5
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS TD
Sep 27, 2026vs vs ARI4
Sep 20, 2026vs vs MIA2
Sep 11, 2026vs vs LAR3
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Brock Purdy
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Brock Purdy trending lately?2.4 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Brock Purdy, 1.5 passing touchdowns

StatIQ projects Brock Purdy for 1.5 passing touchdowns against DEN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Brock Purdy has averaged 2.4 over his last 5 games and 3 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Brock Purdy’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Touchdowns track record
1
average projection miss
91 completed passing touchdowns projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DEN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
2.4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing touchdowns projection for Brock Purdy vs DEN?

StatIQ projects Brock Purdy for 1.5 passing touchdowns against DEN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Brock Purdy performed in passing touchdowns recently?

Brock Purdy has averaged 2.4 over his last 5 games and 3 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing touchdowns projections?

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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the whole game
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