Breece Hall rush + rec yards projection vs the line
NYJ · RB · #20
Next game at KC · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
More
Projections & lines
Average miss 28.9 yards · NFL rush + rec yards model · 139 graded projections · Updated Nov 5
Compare prices · 2 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush + Rec Yards | 68.0 | 61.5 | +6.5 |
| Rushing Yards | 46.9 | 41.5 | +5.4 |
| Receiving Yards | 20.2 | 14.5 | +5.7 |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 2.5 | −0.2 |
Recent rush + rec yards
79.6Average rush + rec yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 61.5 in 7 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Sep 27 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | RUSH+REC | RUSH YDS | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026at DET | 55 | 32 | 23 | 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs GB | 92 | 29 | 63 | 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026at TEN | 118 | 102 | 16 | 2 |
| Dec 28, 2025vs NE | 129 | 111 | 18 | 2 |
| Dec 21, 2025at NO | 63 | 54 | 9 | 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025at JAX | 37 | 23 | 14 | 2 |
| Dec 7, 2025vs MIA | 43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 30, 2025vs ATL | 76 | 68 | 8 | 2 |
| Nov 23, 2025at BAL | 119 | 44 | 75 | 4 |
| Nov 13, 2025at NE | 64 | 58 | 6 | 2 |
| Average · last 10 games | 79.6 | 56.4 | 23.2 | 2.4 |
Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL rush + rec yards model · 139 graded projections
28.9 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Breece Hall has averaged 91.4 yards over his last 5 games and 88.3 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Breece Hall’s rush + rec yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+6.5 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our rush + rec yards projection and the actual result, over 139 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Breece Hall’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- KC
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- KC allowed the 26th-most scrimmage yards to RBs in 2025 110.8 yards/game · 26th of 32
Compare prices
Rush + Rec Yards · line 61.5.
2 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −111.
Prices as of Nov 5, 6:45 PM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Breece Hall, answered here:
Your 7-day Founders trial starts as soon as your account is confirmed. No card.
Every tool, every sport, and every pre-tip pick we post when qualifying opportunities exist. Nothing is charged when it ends. Your account goes back to the free tier.